Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1971)
Series	Issue	Prediction			Actual Earthquake				Misfit			ESTAPE score (Accuracy)
Yr-No.	Time	Time(To)	Location	Mo	Time(T)	Location	MS	Location Name	D T	D R	D M	PT	PR	PM	P(%)
									(day)	(Km)
71-1	1971. 3. 1	1971.3.1	N37.0°	5±											0
		-3.12	E112.7°
71-2	1971. 4.24	1971.4.24	N36.58°	5±	1971.4.25	N37.38°	4	Heshun, Shanxi
		-4.30	E114.4°		-4.29	E113.57°	4
							4
							4.3		0	115.7	0.7	100	68.5	60	75.4
							4.3
71-3	1971. 4.24	1971.4.24	N35.83°	5±	1971.4.25	N37.38°	4	Heshun, Shanxi
		-4.30	E112.97°		-4.29	E113.57°	4
							4
							4.3		0	180.5	0.7	100	54.9	60	70
							4.3
71-4	1971. 4.24	1971.4.24	N36.57°	5±	1971.4.25	N37.38°	4	Heshun, Shanxi
		-4.30	E111.7°		-4.29	E113.57°	4
							4
							4.3		0	189.1	0.7	100	53.4	60	69.4
							4.3
71-5	1971. 4.24	1971.4.24	N37.67°	5±	1971.4.25	N37.38°	4	Heshun, Shanxi
		-4.30	E112.7°		-4.29	E113.57°	4
							4
							4.3		0	82.7	0.7	100	76.5	60	78.6
							4.3
71-6	1971. 4.29	1971.5.1	N36.9°	5±											0
		-5.5	E113.37°
71-7	1971. 4.29	1971.5.1	N37.05°	5±											0
		-5.5	E114.8°
71-8	1971. 5. 6	1971.5.7	N37.05°	5±											0
		-5.12	E114.8°
71-9	1971. 6.3	1971.6.4	N36.8°	5±	1971.6.5	N37.42°	4.8	Heshun, Shanxi	3	105.2	0.2	95	70.9	91.1	84.2
		-6.12	E112.53°			E113.43°	5.2
71-10	1971. 7.14	1971.7.15	N40.25°	5±											0
		-7.22	E114.28°
71-11	1971. 7.14	1971.7.15	N39.63°	5±											0
		-7.22	E118.67°
71-12	1971. 8.14	1971.8.15	N38.13°	5±	1971.8.15	N35.53°	4.5	Xiaxian, Shanxi	2	480.8	0.5	96.6	31.3	74.8	63.9
		-8.2	E115.75°			E111.43°
71-13	1971.12.20	1971.12.21	N43.98°	5±											0
		-12.24	E116.53°
In 1971 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 6/13%=46.2%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 0, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 7/13%=53.8%.