| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1972) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 72-1 | 1972. 1.27 | 1972.1.27 | N36.5° | 5± | 1972.2.4 | N37.37° | 4.7 | Heshun, Shanxi | 5 | 157 | 0.3 | 91.8 | 59.4 | 86.1 | 77.1 |
| -2.2 | E112.2° | E113.6° | |||||||||||||
| 72-2 | 1972. 1.27 | 1972.1.27 | N40.9° | 5± | 1972.2.4 | N37.37° | 4.7 | Heshun, Shanxi | 5 | 398 | 0.3 | 91.8 | 31.4 | 86.1 | 65.9 |
| -2.2 | E112.88° | E113.6° | |||||||||||||
| 72-3 | 1972. 4.5 | 1972.4.7 | N39.48° | 5± | 1972.4.14 | N40.0° | 5 | Liaodong Bay | 2 | 289 | 0 | 96.6 | 39 | 100 | 74.6 |
| -4.16 | E119.28° | E122.6° | 4 | ||||||||||||
| 72-4 | 1972. 4.5 | 1972.4.7 | N36.38° | 5± | 1972.4.14 | N40.0° | 5 | Liaodong Bay | 2 | 994 | 0 | 96.6 | 0 | 100 | 59 |
| -4.16 | E112.2° | E122.6° | 4 | ||||||||||||
| 72-5 | 1972. 4.5 | 1972.4.7 | N38.07° | 5± | 1972.4.14 | N40.0° | 5 | Liaodong Bay | 2 | 617 | 0 | 96.6 | 0 | 100 | 59 |
| -4.16 | E115.9° | E122.6° | 4 | ||||||||||||
| 72-6 | 1972. 4.21 | 1972.4.21 | N23.75° | 6± | 1972.4.24 | N23.7° | 7.3 | Taiwan | 3 | 51.2 | 1.3 | 97.4 | 93.4 | 54.2 | 82.8 |
| -5.1 | E121.0° | E121.5° | |||||||||||||
| 72-7 | 1972. 5.10 | 1972.5.11 | N23.5° | 6± | 1972.5.12 | N24.7° | 5.9 | Taiwan | 3 | 134 | 0.1 | 95 | 64.5 | 95.8 | 83 |
| -5.17 | E121.67° | E121.7° | |||||||||||||
| 72-8 | 1972. 5.20 | 1972.5.21 | N23.75° | 6± | 1972.5.22 | N16.3° | 7 | Philippines | 1 | 842 | 1 | 99.1 | 0 | 64.9 | 49.2 |
| -5.25 | E121.58° | E123.0° | |||||||||||||
| 72-9 | 1972. 6. 6 | 1972.6.8 | N24.27° | 6± | 1972.6.8 | N21.5° | 5.8 | Taiwan | 2 | 308 | 0.2 | 96.6 | 37.1 | 91.1 | 71.2 |
| -6.12 | E119.43° | E119.5° | |||||||||||||
| 72-10 | 1972. 6.26 | 1972.6.27 | N23.75° | 6± | 1972.7.1 | N24.77° | 5 | Taiwan | 3 | 124 | 1 | 95 | 66.6 | 39.2 | 66.9 |
| -6.29 | E121.0° | E120.5° | |||||||||||||
| 72-11 | 1972. 7. 7 | 1972.7.8 | N23.5° | 5.5± | 1972.7.16 | N24.4° | 4.5 | Taiwan | 4 | 155 | 1 | 93.4 | 59.9 | 39.2 | 63.7 |
| -7.16 | E121.67° | E120.5° | |||||||||||||
| 72-12 | 1972. 8.10 | 1972.8.12 | N23.75° | 5-5.5 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -8.16 | E121.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 72-13 | 1972. 9.11 | 1972.9.13 | N29.35° | 5± | 1972.9.27 | N30.2° | 5.8 | Kangding, Sichuan | 7 | 121 | 0.8 | 88.7 | 67.2 | 54.7 | 69.9 |
| -9.27 | E102.28° | E101.5° | |||||||||||||
| 72-14 | 1972.11.16 | 1972.11.19 | N28.9° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -11.27 | E102.28° | ||||||||||||||
| 72-15 | 1972.11.30 | 1972.12.5 | N23.75° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| E121.0° | |||||||||||||||
| 72-16 | 1972.12.14 | 1972.12.14 | N23.75° | 5.5 | 1972.12.22 | N23.7° | 5.1 | Taiwan | 4 | 61.3 | 0.4 | 93.4 | 82.1 | 80.6 | 85 |
| -12.2 | E121.0° | E120.4° | |||||||||||||
| 72-17 | 1972.12.14 | 1972.12.14 | N29.0° | 5.5 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -12.2 | E102.1° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1972 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 10/17%=58.8%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 3/17%=17.6%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 4/17%=23.5%. | |||||||||||||||