| Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1973) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Scores (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 73-1 | 1973. 1. 2 | 1973.1.4 | N23.75° | 5-5.5 | 0 | ||||||||||
| E121.0° | |||||||||||||||
| 73-2 | 1973. 1.11 | 1973.1.15 | N28.75° | 5-5.5 | 0 | ||||||||||
| E121.0° | |||||||||||||||
| 73-3 | 1973. 1.23 | 1973.1.26 | N23.75° | 6± | 1973.2.14 | N22.3° | 5.5 | Taiwan | 14 | 164.1 | 0.5 | 78.5 | 58.1 | 74.8 | 69.2 |
| -2.4 | E121.0° | E121.3° | |||||||||||||
| 73-4 | 1973. 2.23 | 1973. 2.28 | N23.75° | 5.5-6 | 1973.3.6 | N20.6° | 5.3 | Bashi Strait | 3 | 349.2 | 0.5 | 95 | 33.8 | 74.8 | 64.5 |
| -3.6 | E121.0° | E121.0° | |||||||||||||
| 73-5 | 1973. 3. 2 | 1973.3.5 | N39.5° | 5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -18 | E119.3° | ||||||||||||||
| 73-6 | 1973. 3.24 | 1973.3.27 | N39.0° | 5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -4.5 | E119.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 73-7 | 1973. 4. 7 | 1973.4.9 | N24.0° | 5.5± | 1973.4.23 | N24.2° | 5.1 | Taiwan | 11 | 72.7 | 0.4 | 82.7 | 77.8 | 80.6 | 80.1 |
| -4.15 | E120.3° | E121.0° | |||||||||||||
| 73-8 | 1973. 5.19 | 1973.5.23 | N23° 45¢ | 5.5-6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.1 | E121° 00¢ | ||||||||||||||
| 73-9 | 1973. 6.28 | 1973.6.30 | N24° 43¢ | 5-5.5 | 1973.6.29 | N28.8° | 5 | Mabian, Sichuan | |||||||
| E101° 12¢ | E103.5° | 5.5 | 1 | 508.3 | 0.2 | 98 | 0 | 91.1 | 56.7 | ||||||
| 1973.6.30 | N28.8° | 5.2 | |||||||||||||
| E103.5° | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||
| 73-10 | 1973. 6.28 | 1973.6.30 | N29° 36¢ | 5-5.5 | 1973.6.29 | N28.8° | 5 | Mabian, Sichuan | |||||||
| E102° 07¢ | E103.5° | 5.5 | 1 | 161.1 | 0.2 | 98 | 58.7 | 91.1 | 80.2 | ||||||
| 1973.6.30 | N28.8° | 5.2 | |||||||||||||
| E103.5° | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||
| 73-11 | 1973. 8.18 | 1972.8.21 | N23.75° | 6± | 1973.8.26 | N20.0° | 5.3 | Taiwan | 0 | 417.5 | 0.7 | 100 | 30.9 | 61.8 | 60.9 |
| -8.31 | E121.0° | E121.2° | |||||||||||||
| 73-12 | 1973. 8.18 | 1973.8.19 | N23.33° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -9.30 | E101.38° | ||||||||||||||
| 73-13 | 1973. 8.18 | 1973.8.19 | N28.17° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -9.30 | E103.77° | ||||||||||||||
| 73-14 | 1973. 9.30 | 1973.10.5 | N23.75° | 5.5± | 1973.10.2 | N23.4° | 5.5 | Taiwan | 9 | 38.9 | 0 | 85.7 | 88.3 | 100 | 91 |
| -10.16 | E121.0° | E121.0° | |||||||||||||
| 73-15 | 1973.10.11 | 1973.10.12 | N23.75° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -10.25 | E121.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 73-16 | 1973.10.11 | 1973.10.12 | N32.2° | 5.5± | 1973.10.16 | N32.1° | 4.9 | Rangtang, Sichuan | |||||||
| -10.25 | E102.13° | E101.2° | 3 | 88.6 | 0.6 | 95 | 75 | 68.5 | 79.1 | ||||||
| 1973.10.27 | N32.8° | 4.7 | |||||||||||||
| E104.0° | |||||||||||||||
| In 1973 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 7/16=43.8%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 1/16=6.2%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 8/16=50%. | |||||||||||||||