Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1974)
Series	Issue	Prediction			Actual Earthquake				Misfit			ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No.	Time	Time(To)	Location	Mo	Time(T)	Location	MS	Location Name	D T	D R	D M	PT	PR	PM	P(%)
									(day)	(Km)
74-1	1974. 1.10	1974.1.15	N25.82°	6-7	1974.5.11	N28.2°	7.1	Daguan, Yunnan	94	526	0.6	41.2	43.7	79	53.5
		-2.28	E99.42°			E104.0°
74-2	1974. 1.10	1974.1.15	N30.0°	6-7	1974.5.11	N28.2°	7.1	Daguan, Yunnan	94	468	0.6	41.2	48.7	79	55.5
		-2.28	E99.65°			E104.0°
74-3	1974. 1.10	1974.1.15	N23.0°	6-7	1974.5.11	N28.2°	7.1	Daguan, Yunnan	94	673	0.6	41.2	32.6	79	49.1
		-2.28	E100.57°			E104.0°
74-4	1974. 1.10	1974.1.15	N28.18°	6-7	1974.5.11	N28.2°	7.1	Daguan, Yunnan	94	21.3	0.6	41.2	97.2	79	74.9
		-2.28	E103.78°			E104.0°
74-5	1974. 2.28	1974.3.4	N23.75°	5.5											0
			E121.0°
74-6	1974. 3.16	1974.3.18	N22.6°	5.5-6											0
		-3.26	E118.0°
74-7	1974. 4. 4	1974.4.13	N32.87°	5.5-6											0
		-4.25	E103.9°
74-8	1974. 4. 4	1974.4.13	N25.23°	5.5-6											0
		-4.25	E 99.37°
74-9	1974. 4. 4	1974.4.13	N30.55°	5.5-6											0
		-4.25	E100.73°
74-10	1974. 4.30	1974.5.5	N31.73°	5.5	1974.5.11	N28.2°	7.1	Daguan, Yunnan	0	474	1.6	100	48.1	43.3	62.3
		-5.16	E101.25°			E104.0°
74-11	1974. 4.30	1974.5.5	N23.0°	5.5	1974.5.11	N28.2°	7.1	Daguan, Yunnan	0	673	1.6	100	32.6	43.4	56.1
		-5.16	E100.57°			E104.0°
74-12	1974. 5.11	1974.5.14	N23.75°	5.5±											0
		-5.24	E121.0°
74-13	1974. 5.23	1974.5.25	N23.75°	7±											0
		-6.25	E121.0°
74-14	1974. 6. 9	1974.6.15	N27.82°	6±	1974.6.15	N28.2°	5.7	Daguan, Yunnan	15	45.7	0.3	77.2	86.4	83	82.7
		-7.15	E103.73°			E103.9°	5.2
74-15	1974. 6. 9	1974.6.15	N28.38°	6±											0
		-7.15	E99.67°
74-16	1974. 6. 9	1974.6.15	N31.3°	6±	1974.6.15	N31.7°	5.1	Ganzi, Sichuan	15	62.7	0.9	77.2	81.7	47.2	70
		-7.15	E100.57°			E100.1°
74-17	1974. 6. 9	1974.6.15	N32.53°	6±											0
		-7.15	E103.75°
74-18	1974. 6.12	1974.6.13	N39.65°	6.5±	1974.8.11	N39.23°	7.3	Kashi, Xinjiang	19	281	0.8	84.4	66.7	72	73.6
		-8.31	E76.52°		1974.8.12	E73.83°	5.9
							6.4
74-19	1974. 6.12	1974.6.13	N42.75°	6.5±											0
		-8.31	E83.27°
74-20	1974. 6.17	1974.6.23	N27.32°	6±											0
		-7.13	E100.0°
74-21	1974. 6.17	1974.6.23	N22.67°	6±											0
		-7.13	E100.72°
74-22	1974. 6.17	1974.6.23	N23.72°	6±											0
		-7.13	E102.2°
74-23	1974. 6.17	1974.6.23	N26.78°	6±	1974.7.10	N28.2°	5.4	Daguan, Yunnan	8	211	0.6	87.2	49.7	68.5	66.6
		-7.13	E102.58°			E104.0°
74-24	1974. 6.22	1974.6.27	N36.55°	5±											0
		-7.13	E114.75°
74-25	1974. 6.22	1974.6.27	N39.97°	5±											0
		-7.13	E119.6°
74-26	1974. 7. 3	1974.7.6	N23.75°	7±	1974.8.9	N24.7°	6.3	Taiwan	26	194	0.7	73.5	64.7	68.2	68.4
		-7.22	E121.0°			E122.6°
74-27	1974. 7.19	1974.7.28	N33.65°	5.5±											0
		-8.14	E104.38°
74-28	1974. 7.19	1974.7.28	N26.62°	5.5±											0
		-8.14	E100.27°
74-29	1974. 7.19	1974.7.28	N32.47°	5.5±											0
		-8.14	E101.87°
74-30	1974. 8.22	1974.8.29	N37.23°	5.5±											0
		-9.10	E105.92°
74-31	1974. 8.22	1974.8.29	N38.32°	5.5±	1974.9.22	N37.9°	4.7	Menyuan, Qinghai	18	71.1	0.8	73.3	79.5	54.7	70.2
		-9.10	E101.92°			E101.3°
74-32	1974. 8.28	1974.9.3	N28.53°	5.5±											0
		-9.20	E103.15°
74-33	1974. 8.28	1974.9.3	N26.82°	5.5±											0
		-9.20	E 99.92°
74-34	1974. 8.28	1974.9.3	N30.85°	5.5±											0
		-9.20	E100.1°
74-35	1974. 8.28	1974.9.3	N32.68°	5.5±	1974.9.23	N33.8°	5.6	Ruoergai, Sichuan	11	173	0.1	82.7	56.3	95.8	76.1
		-9.20	E103.9°			E102.6°
74-36	1974. 9.10	1974.9.13	N23.75°	5.5±	1974.10.11	N22.5°	5.5	Taiwan	25	152	0	65	60.5	100	73.7
		-9.20	E121.0°			E121.6°
74-37	1974. 9.27	1974.10.5	N37.72°	5±											0
		-10.20	E114.87°
74-38	1974. 9.27	1974.10.5	N39.0°	5±											0
		-10.20	E116.0°
74-39	1974. 9.27	1974.10.5	N39.27°	5.5±	1974.10.3	N39.67°	4	luanxian, Hebei	9	48.8	1.5	85.7	85.5	0	59.9
		-10.20	E119.0°			E118.77°
74-40	1974.10.14	1974.10.20	N37.42°	5±											0
		-11.10	E114.07°
74-41	1974.10.14	1974.10.20	N39.27°	5±											0
		-11.10	E119.0°
74-42	1974.10.14	1974.10.20	N38.75°	5±											0
		-11.10	E116.22°
74-43	1974.11.21	1974.11.30	N39.5°	5-5.5	1974.12.25	N39.33°	4.1	Ninghe, Hebei	7	123	1.2	88.7	66.8	0	53.3
		-12.15	E119.0°			E117.58°
74-44	1974.11.12	1974.11.30	N37.42°	5-5.5											0
		-12.15	E114.52°
74-45	1974.11.21	1974.11.30	N38.75°	5-5.5											0
		-12.15	E116.32°
74-46	1974.11.23	1974.12.4	N26.28°	6±											0
		-12.18	E99.68°
74-47	1974.11.23	1974.12.4	N22.72°	6±											0
		-12.18	E101.37°
74-48	1974.11.23	1974.12.4	N31.3°	6±											0
		-12.18	E100.57°
74-49	1974.11.23	1974.12.4	N29.13°	5±											0
		-12.18	E103.63°
74-50	1974.12.26	1974.12.29	N31.47°	5±	1974.12.30	N28.9°	4.9	Mabian, Sichuan	2	376	0.1	96.6	32.2	95.8	70.6
		-1975.1.5	E101.25°			E103.8°
74-51	1974.12.26	1974.12.29	N29.53°	5±											0
		-1975.1.5	E100.0°
In 1974 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 11/51=21.6%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 6/51=11.8%, false alarms of short-immivent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 34/51=66.7%.