| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1975) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 75-1 | 1975. 1.23 | 1975.1.30 | N40.55° | 5± | 1975.2.4 | N40.6° | 7.3 | Haicheng, Liaoning | 2 | 38.4 | 2.3 | 98.3 | 95 | 0 | 67.5 |
| -2.13 | E123.25° | E122.8° | |||||||||||||
| 75-2 | 1975. 1.23 | 1975.1.30 | N39.38° | 5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -2.13 | E118.65° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-3 | 1975. 1.23 | 1975.1.30 | N37.0° | 5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -2.13 | E114.6° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-4 | 1975. 2.13 | 1975.2.16 | N29.32° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -2.26 | E102.82° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-5 | 1975. 2.13 | 1975.2.16 | N32.13° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -2.26 | E100.82° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-6 | 1975. 2.13 | 1975.2.16 | N29.73° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -2.26 | E99.82° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-7 | 1975. 2.22 | 1975.2.25 | N39.55° | 5.5-6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -3.9 | E120.77° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-8 | 1975. 2.22 | 1975.2.25 | N38.0° | 5.5-6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -3.9 | E114.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-9 | 1975. 3. 5 | 1975.3.10 | N26.18° | 7± | 1975.3.8 | N28.2° | 5.2 | Yanjin, Yunnan | 38 | 273 | 1.8 | 52.9 | 40.9 | 0 | 32.2 |
| -5.20 | E102.63° | E104.2° | |||||||||||||
| 75-10 | 1975. 3. 5 | 1975.3.10 | N24.57° | 7± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -5.20 | E101.95° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-11 | 1975. 3. 5 | 1975.3.10 | N27.0° | 7± | 1975.5.31 | N26.42° | 6.3 | Myanmar | 46 | 377 | 0.7 | 57.1 | 41.4 | 68.2 | 54.2 |
| -5.20 | E 99.73° | E 96.0° | |||||||||||||
| 75-12 | 1975. 3. 5 | 1975.3.10 | N30.0° | 7± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -5.20 | E 99.65° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-13 | 1975. 5.16 | 1975.5.20 | N23.75° | 5.5-6 | 1975.5.24 | N22.5° | 6.4 | Taiwan | 1 | 173 | 0.6 | 98.9 | 68 | 72.7 | 78.7 |
| -5.27 | E121.0° | E122.0° | |||||||||||||
| 75-14 | 1975. 5.31 | 1975.6.5 | N26.77° | 6± | 1975.6.15 | N27.8° | 4.8 | Yanyuang, Sichuan | 5 | 165 | 1.2 | 91.8 | 57.9 | 0 | 50.7 |
| -6.15 | E102.0° | E100.8° | |||||||||||||
| 75-15 | 1975. 5.31 | 1975.6.5 | N31.1° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.15 | E103.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-16 | 1975. 6. 2 | 1975.6.10 | N24.93° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.22 | E101.53° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-17 | 1975. 6. 2 | 1975.6.10 | N29.13° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.22 | E102.85° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-18 | 1975. 7. 8 | 1975.7.1 | N35.5° | 7± | 1975.7.8 | N39.0° | 6 | Ruojiang, Xinjiang | 54 | 471 | 1 | 51.4 | 33.2 | 54.9 | 45.2 |
| -9.30 | E 84.0° | E 87.0° | |||||||||||||
| 75-19 | 1975. 7. 8 | 1975.7.1 | N42.0° | 7± | 1975.9.10 | N40.22° | 5.6 | Bachu, Xinjiang | 10 | 241 | 1.4 | 98.3 | 45 | 0 | 47.5 |
| -9.30 | E 80.0° | E 78.37° | |||||||||||||
| 75-20 | 1975. 7.15 | 1975.7.17 | N23.75° | 6.5± | 1975.7.20 | N24.8° | 5.5 | Taiwan | 0 | 119 | 1 | 100 | 67.8 | 39.2 | 68.9 |
| -7.24 | E121.0° | E120.8° | |||||||||||||
| 75-21 | 1975. 7.31 | 1975.8.3 | N30.33° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -8.10 | E101.57° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-22 | 1975. 7.31 | 1975.8.3 | N32.88° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -8.10 | E101.48° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-23 | 1975. 8. 4 | 1975.8.8 | N23.75° | 5.5-6 | 1975.8.9 | N23.0° | 5.5 | Taiwan | 3 | 104 | 0.3 | 95 | 71.3 | 86.1 | 82.8 |
| -8.17 | E121.0° | E121.6° | |||||||||||||
| 75-24 | 1975. 8.21 | 1975.8.24 | N23.75° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -8.31 | E121.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 75-25 | 1975. 9.11 | 1975.9.16 | N23.25° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -9.24 | E121.0° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1975 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 4/25=16%, incorrect short-imminent earthquave predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 5/25=20%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 16/25=64%. | |||||||||||||||