| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1976) | ||||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | |||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) | |
| (day) | (Km) | |||||||||||||||
| 76-1 | 1976. 1.29 | 1976.2.6 | N41.03° | >6 | 0 | |||||||||||
| -3.3 | E119.38° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-2 | 1976. 1.29 | 1976.2.6 | N38.95° | 5.5± | 1976.4.6 | N39.7° | 6.3 | Helingeer, Inner Mongolia | 47 | 116.8 | 0.8 | 56.3 | 77.4 | 63.7 | 67 | |
| -3.3 | E112.75° | E111.8° | ||||||||||||||
| 76-3 | 1976. 2.28 | 1976.3.1 | N29.47° | 6.5± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -3.31 | E 99.33° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-4 | 1976. 2.28 | 1976.3.1 | N32.53° | 6.5± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -3.31 | E102.88° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-5 | 1976. 4.28 | 1976.5.2 | N23.75° | 5.5± | 1976.5.14 | N24.9° | 4 | Taiwan | 7 | 141.6 | 1.5 | 88.7 | 62.7 | 0 | 51.7 | |
| -5.12 | E121.0° | E121.6° | ||||||||||||||
| 76-6 | 1976. 5.13 | 1976.5.21 | N31.53° | 6-7 | 1976.5.29 | N24.6° | 7.5 | Longling, Yunnan | 3 | 874.2 | 1.1 | 97.4 | 0 | 61.3 | 47.6 | |
| -5.31 | E102.9° | E 98.7° | 7.6 | |||||||||||||
| 76-7 | 1976. 5.13 | 1976.5.21 | N28.0° | 5-6 | 1976.5.29 | N24.6° | 7.5 | Longling, Yunnan | 3 | 449.2 | 2.1 | 97.4 | 50.3 | 0 | 49.3 | |
| -5.31 | E101.13° | E 98.7° | 7.6 | |||||||||||||
| 76-8 | 1976. 6.19 | 1976.6.21 | N39.5° | 5± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -6.30 | E118.5° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-9 | 1976. 6.19 | 1976.6.21 | N37.87° | 5± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -6.30 | E114.4° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-10 | 1976. 7. 3 | 1976.7.6 | N32.33° | 6± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -7.16 | E102.8° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-11 | 1976. 7. 3 | 1976.7.6 | N24.57° | 6± | 1976.7.4 | N24.3° | 6.1 | Luxi, Yunnan | 7 | 31.3 | 0.1 | 92.3 | 93.5 | 95.4 | 93.7 | |
| -7.16 | E 98.72° | E 98.7° | ||||||||||||||
| 76-12 | 1976. 7.14 | 1976.7.20 | N40.3° | 5± | 1976.7.28 | N39.38° | 7.8 | Tangshan, Hebei | 0 | 397.5 | 2.8 | 100 | 55.1 | 0 | 52 | |
| -8.5 | E114.0° | E118.5° | ||||||||||||||
| N40.2° | 7.1 | Luanxian, Hebei | 0 | 424.5 | 2.1 | 100 | 52.5 | 0 | 51 | |||||||
| E119.0° | ||||||||||||||||
| 76-13 | 1976. 7.14 | 1976.7.20 | N39.5° | 5± | 1976.7.28 | N39.38° | 7.8 | Tangshan, Hebei | 0 | 13 | 2.8 | 100 | 98.3 | 0 | 69.3 | |
| -8.5 | E118.5° | E118.5° | ||||||||||||||
| N40.2° | 7.1 | Luanxian, Hebei | 0 | 88.8 | 2.1 | 100 | 88.7 | 0 | 65.5 | |||||||
| E119.0° | ||||||||||||||||
| 76-14 | 1976. 7.24 | 1976.7.31 | N23.75° | 6± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -8.13 | E121.0° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-15 | 1976. 8. 2 | 1976.8.4 | N39.68° | 6.5± | 1976.8.8 | N39.55° | 5.6 | Tangshan, Hebei | ||||||||
| E118.48° | E118.28° | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||
| 1976.8.9 | N39.72° | 5.9 | 2 | 30.2 | 0.6 | 97 | 90.9 | 73 | 87.4 | |||||||
| E118.83° | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||
| 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1976.8.10 | N39.72° | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||
| E118.83° | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||
| 76-16 | 1976. 8.20 | 1976.8.24 | N39.32° | 6± | 1976.8.31 | N39.63° | 6 | Tangshan, Hebei | ||||||||
| -9.2 | E118.22° | E118.55° | 6 | 3 | 45.4 | 0 | 96.7 | 90.7 | 100 | 95.3 | ||||||
| 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||
| 76-17 | 1976. 8.20 | 1976.8.24 | N39.4° | 6± | 1976.8.24 | N39.62° | 5.1 | Baodi, Hebei | 4 | 48 | 0.9 | 93.4 | 85.8 | 47.2 | 76.5 | |
| -9.2 | E116.85° | E117.33° | ||||||||||||||
| 76-18 | 1976. 9. 8 | 1976.9.11 | N39.5° | 6± | 1976.9.13 | N39.72° | 5 | Tangshan, Hebei | ||||||||
| -9.19 | E118.5° | E118.43° | 5.2 | |||||||||||||
| 1976.9.14 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| 1976.9.15 | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||
| 1976.9.19 | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| 1976.9.25 | 5.6 | 10 | 24.8 | 0.4 | 84 | 92.4 | 80.6 | 86.4 | ||||||||
| 1976.9.29 | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||
| 76-19 | 1976. 9.25 | 1976.10.1 | N39.68° | 6± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -10.31 | E114.72° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-20 | 1976. 9.25 | 1976.10.1 | N39.92° | 6± | 1976.11.15 | N39.4° | 6.9 | Ninghe, Hebei | 31 | 96.1 | 0.9 | 69.1 | 81.1 | 59.3 | 71 | |
| -10.31 | E117.0° | E117.9° | ||||||||||||||
| 76-21 | 1976.11. 1 | 1976.11.7 | N23.75° | 6± | 0 | |||||||||||
| -11.19 | E121.0° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-22 | 1976.11.19 | 1976.11.22 | N39.25° | 6± | 1976.11.28 | N39.23° | 5.3 | Ninghe, Hebei | ||||||||
| -12. 5 | E117.57° | E117.92° | 5.3 | |||||||||||||
| 1976.12.2 | N39.55° | 5.5 | Baodi, Hebei | 2 | 33.4 | 0.5 | 96.6 | 89.9 | 74.8 | 87.4 | ||||||
| E117.55° | ||||||||||||||||
| 76-23 | 1976.11.25 | 1976.11.27 | N28.7° | 6-7 | 1976.12.13 | N27.0° | 6.7 | Ninglang, Yunnan | 9 | 298.5 | 0.2 | 90.2 | 50.1 | 90.8 | 74.3 | |
| -12.12 | E102.85° | E100.5° | ||||||||||||||
| 76-24 | 1976.11.25 | 1976.11.27 | N23.1° | 6-7 | 0 | |||||||||||
| -12.12 | E100.08° | |||||||||||||||
| 76-25 | 1976.11.25 | 1976.11.27 | N29.47° | 6-7 | 0 | |||||||||||
| -12.12 | E 99.43° | |||||||||||||||
| In 1976 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 10/25=40%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 4/25=16%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 11/25=44%. | ||||||||||||||||
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