| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1977) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 77-1 | 1977. 1.25 | 1977.1.31 | N39.68° | 6± | 1977.1.30 | N39.4° | 5.5 | Tangshan, Hebei | 3 | 46.6 | 0.5 | 95 | 86.2 | 74.8 | 85.4 |
| -2.5 | E118.48° | E118.08° | |||||||||||||
| 77-2 | 1977. 2.24 | 1977.2.26 | N23.75° | 6-7 | 1977.3.19 | N16.1° | 7.5 | Philippine | 16 | 860 | 1 | 86.7 | 0 | 64.9 | 45.5 |
| -3.9 | E121.0° | E122.2° | |||||||||||||
| 77-3 | 1977. 2.24 | 1977.2.26 | N31.4° | 6± | 1977.2.25 | N27.5° | 5.2 | Yanyuan, Sichuan | 7 | 449 | 0.8 | 88.7 | 0 | 54.7 | 43 |
| -3.9 | E102.1° | E100.9° | |||||||||||||
| 77-4 | 1977. 3.19 | 1977.3.20 | N40.0° | ³ 6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -4.10 | E115.0° | ||||||||||||||
| 77-5 | 1977. 3.19 | 1977.3.20 | N39.45° | 6± | 1977.3.24 | N39.78° | 5.2 | Tangshan, Hebei | 7 | 65.7 | 0.8 | 88.7 | 80.9 | 54.7 | 75.4 |
| -4.10 | E118.0° | E118.63° | |||||||||||||
| 77-6 | 1977. 5.26 | 1977.6.2 | N39.68° | 5.5-6 | 1977.6.10 | N39.45° | 5.2 | Fengnan, Hebei | 3 | 31.1 | 0.6 | 95 | 90.6 | 68.5 | 85.3 |
| -6.13 | E117.88° | E118.08° | |||||||||||||
| 77-7 | 1977. 6.11 | 1977.6.15 | N26.23° | >6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -7.31 | E100.42° | ||||||||||||||
| 77-8 | 1977. 6.11 | 1977.6.15 | N23.37° | >6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -7.31 | E101.03° | ||||||||||||||
| 77-9 | 1977. 7. 8 | 1977.7.9 | N39.68° | 6± | 1977.7.10 | N39.87° | 5.1 | Lulong, Hebei | |||||||
| -7.20 | E118.48° | E119.03° | |||||||||||||
| 1977.7.15 | N39.75° | 5 | Tangshan, Hebei | 3 | 35 | 1 | 95 | 89.5 | 39.2 | 76.1 | |||||
| E118.08° | |||||||||||||||
| 77-10 | 1977. 7. 8 | 1977.7.9 | N39.35° | 5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -7.20 | E116.47° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1977 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 4 /10=40%, incorrect short-imminent earthquak predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 2/10=20%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 4 /10=40%. | |||||||||||||||