| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1979) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 79-1 | 1979. 1.19 | 1979.1.28 | N23.75° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| E121.0° | |||||||||||||||
| 79-2 | 1979. 4. 5 | 1979.4.6 | N39.68° | 5-6 | 1979.5.17 | N39.67° | 4.9 | Luanxian, Hebei | |||||||
| -6.30 | E118.48° | E118.68° | 5.1 | 2 | 17.2 | 0.4 | 97 | 94.7 | 77 | 90.1 | |||||
| 79-3 | 1979. 4. 5 | 1979.4.6 | N40.62° | 5-6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.30 | E115.03° | ||||||||||||||
| 79-4 | 1979. 7. 6 | 1979.7.11 | N22.67° | 6± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -7.31 | E101.4° | ||||||||||||||
| 79-5 | 1979. 7. 6 | 1979.7.11 | N32.8° | 5.5± | 0 | ||||||||||
| -7.31 | E102.58° | ||||||||||||||
| 79-6 | 1979.10.11 | 1979.10.12 | N23.5° | 6.5 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -12.12 | E101.1° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1979 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 1/6=16.7%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 0, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 5/6=83.3%. | |||||||||||||||