Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1980)

Series	Issue	Prediction			Actual Earthquake				Misfit			ESTAPE Score (Accuracy)
Yr-No.	Time	Time(To)	Location	Mo	Time(T)	Location	MS	Location Name	D T	D R	D M	PT	PR	PM	P(%)
Yr-No.	Time	Time(To)	Location	Mo	Time(T)	Location	MS	Location Name	(day)	(Km)	D M	PT	PR	PM	P(%)
80-1	1980. 3.12	1980.3.13	N23.33°	³ 6	1980.6.18	N23.5°	5.8	Mengzi, Yunnan	43	256	0.5	49.3	43	74.8	54.4
80-1	1980. 3.12	-6.30	E101.1°	³ 6	1980.6.18	E103.6°	5.8	Mengzi, Yunnan	43	256	0.5	49.3	43	74.8	54.4
80-2	1980. 7.12	1980.7.25	N38.95°	5.5	1980.7.27	N39.63°	4.5	Ninghe-Tangshan, Hebei
		-8.10	E119.68°			E118.08°
					1980.8.6	N39.3°	4.7		4	171	0.8	93.4	56.7	54.7	67.1
						E117.75°
					1980.8.10	N39.42°	4.4
						E117.98°
					1980.8.10	N39.65°	4
						E118.3°
80-3	1980.11. 8	1980.11.9	N39.75°	5.5	1980.11.10	N40.5°	4.2	Huailai, Hebei	29	86.4	1.3	60.9	75.5	0	48.5
80-3	1980.11. 8	-1981.1.9	E115.92°	5.5	1980.11.10	E115.65°	4.2	Huailai, Hebei	29	86.4	1.3	60.9	75.5	0	48.5
In 1980 the success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 1/3=33.3%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is <60) is 2/3=66.7%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0 ) is 0.