| Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1994) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 94-1 | 1994.11.22 | 1994.11.24 | N35° 40¢ | ³ 7 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -1995.1.22 | E105° 00 | ||||||||||||||
| In 1994 false alarm rate of short-imminent earthquake prediction (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/1=100%. | |||||||||||||||
| Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1995) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 95-1 | 1995. 3.14 | 1995.3.22 | N44.3° | 6.5-6.9 | 1995.5.2 | N43.8° | 5.8 | Wushi, Xinjiang | 20 | 57.2 | 0.9 | 71 | 83.2 | 47.2 | 68.7 |
| -5.1 | E84.87° | E84.7° | |||||||||||||
| 95-2 | 1995. 4.12 | 1995.4.19 | N39.83° | 5-5.4 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -4.28 | E117.0° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1995 success rate (general evaluation mark is ³ 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with Crustal stress method is 1/2=50%, false alarm rate of short-imminent earthquake prediction (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/2=50%. | |||||||||||||||
| Crustal Stress Short-Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1996) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 96-1 | 1996. 5. 9 | 1996.5.16 | N23.67° | 6.0-6.4 | 0 | ||||||||||
| -6.5 | E102.88° | ||||||||||||||
| In 1996 false alarm rate of short-imminent earthquake prediction (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/1=100%. | |||||||||||||||