| Crustal Stress Short-Term/Imminent Earthquake Prediction Record (1999) | |||||||||||||||
| Series | Issue | Prediction | Actual Earthquake | Misfit | ESTAPE Score (Accuracy) | ||||||||||
| Yr-No. | Time | Time(To) | Location | Mo | Time(T) | Location | MS | Location Name | D T | D R | D M | PT | PR | PM | P(%) |
| (day) | (Km) | ||||||||||||||
| 99-1 | 1999.5.1 | 1999.5.8- | N40.43° | 6 | 1999.5.15 | N39.38° | 4.7 | Jiashi, Xinjiang | 0 | 154.3 | 1.5 | 100 | 60.1 | 0 | 54 |
| 5.22 | E78.45° | -6.4 | E77.27° | ||||||||||||
| 99-2 | 1999.6.26 | 1999.6.26-6.30 | N40.1° | 3.5 | 1999.7.25 | N40.05° | 2.5 | Shunyi, Beijing | 28 | 16.6 | 1 | 61.9 | 94.9 | 39.2 | 68.3 |
| E116.42° | E116.6° | ||||||||||||||
| 99-3 | 1999.8.6 | 1999.8.12- | N24.0° | 5.2 | 1999.8.20 | N23.7° | 4.9 | Heyuan, Guangdong | 3 | 37.4 | 0.3 | 95 | 88.8 | 86.1 | 89.9 |
| 8.21 | E114.63° | E114.6° | |||||||||||||
| 99-4 | 1999.8.19 | 1999.8.25- 9.3 | N34.33° | 4.5 | 1999.8.17 | N31.63° | 4.7 | Mianzhu, Sichuan | 14 | 561.2 | 0.1 | 78.5 | 0 | 95.8 | 52.3 |
| E109.1° | -5.0 | E104.02° | |||||||||||||
| 99-5 | 1999.9.8 | 1999.9.12-9.21 | N40.67° | 6 | 1999.9.12 | N40.3° | 4.7 | Zuoyun, Shanxi | 5 | 244.5 | 1.5 | 91.8 | 44.5 | 0 | 45.3 |
| E115.33° | -6.4 | E112.48° | |||||||||||||
| 1999.9.21 | N23.7° | 7.6 | Nantou, Taiwan | 4 | 1963 | 1.4 | 96.6 | 0 | 50.6 | 44.2 | |||||
| E121.1° | |||||||||||||||
| 99-6 | 1999.11.15 | 1999.11.19-12.3 | N39.5° | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| E77.5° | -6.4 | ||||||||||||||
| 99-7 | 1999.11.19 | 1999.11.23-12.4 | N23.93° | 6.5± | 1999.11.26 | N23.9° | 5 | Hualian, Taiwan | 2 | 150.8 | 1.5 | 96.6 | 60.8 | 0 | 53.3 |
| E121.12° | 0.5 | E122.6° | |||||||||||||
| In 1999 the success rate (general evaluation mark is >= 60) of short-imminent earthquake predictions with piezomagnetic crustal stress method is 2/7 = 28.6%, incorrect short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is < 60) is 4/7 = 57.1%, false alarms of short-imminent earthquake predictions (general evaluation mark is 0) is 1/7 = 14.3%. | |||||||||||||||