Community-Managed
Forecasting and Early Warning Preparedness for Natural Hazards
Suggested Date: November 15-17, 2006
Venue:
Workshop Objectives
At the end of 3 days the
participants will have:
Workshop Content Flow
|
Rationale for Community Managed Early Warning
Systems The Changing World (Theme
1) Introduction Workshop Objective and
Mechanics Philosophy and Principles of Community Managed
Early Warning Systems (Theme 2) Practices of Community Managed Early Warning
Systems (Themes 3 and 4) The Way Forward for Community Managed Early
Warning Systems (Themes 5 and 6) |
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Schedule of Activities and Themes
|
Time |
Day 1 |
Day 2 |
Day 3 |
|
AM |
Registration
Opening
Ceremony §
welcome
remarks §
expectations
and objectives of the workshop §
workshop
mechanics Theme
1: The Changing World: The Why of
Community Managed Forecasting and Early Warning Systems |
Theme
3: If communities can do forecasting,
what would be the steps/ mechanisms in place for them to take action for
preparedness and during the actual events? |
Theme
5: The role of various stakeholders to
make the community safer and to create
early warning systems in the hands of
the community. |
|
Lunch |
|
|
|
|
PM |
Theme
2: Can a community do forecasting? Sharing of
Experiences on communities in action for hazard forecasting §
using
scientific tools §
monitoring
the natural environment as community observers |
Theme 4:
Early warning system in the hands of the community: Issues and challenges |
Theme 6:
Wrap up and Synthesis Commitments of each of the 10 sites,
individually and as a monitoring network.. |
|
|
Synthesis |
Synthesis |
Synthesis |
Workshop Mechanics
|
Time |
Themes |
Objectives |
Outcomes |
Methodology |
|
|
Registration
Opening
Ceremony §
welcome
remarks §
expectations
and objectives of the workshop §
workshop
mechanics |
·
To warm up and set the stage for the entire workshop ·
To present the objectives and the methodology of the day ·
To present the schedules and the expected outcome of the 3 days ·
Expectation
Check |
·
Participants
are relaxed and willing to share experiences ·
Participants
will feel that they own the entire process of the 3 days ·
Consensus on the program content and timing |
·
Presentation ·
Facilitation |
|
|
Theme 1: The Changing World |
l
To
present the changing landscape of the world and how society will navigate in
the new world |
l
List
of key points on the changing world that might affect the way the society
works |
l
Presentation l
Sharing l
Structured learning exercise |
|
|
Theme 2:
Can communities do forecasting? |
l
To
be able to present various case studies: communities can read signs for
impending hazard events (be it using scientific instruments and/or watching
for changes in the natural environment) |
l
List
of principles and philosophy on why communities can do forecasting l
List of community early warning indicators for specific hazards. |
l
Presentation l
Case studies |
|
|
Theme 3:
If communities can do forecasting, what would be the steps/ mechanisms in place for them to take action
to prepare and during the actual events? |
l
To
be able to generate the “How and What” of an early warning system at the
community level in a consensus approach. |
l
Steps/
processes and approaches in having an early warning system
at the community level (from generating data, data compilation, analysis up
to dissemination and taking action) |
l
Workshop l
Structured learning exercise l
Presentation |
|
|
Theme 4: Early warning system in the hands
of communities: Issues and Challenges |
l
To
be able to identify the obstacles in having early warning in the hands of
local communities. l
To
be able to identify action points based upon the identified obstacles. |
l
List
of issues and challenges from various stakeholders |
l
Workshop l
Structured learning exercise l
Presentation |
|
|
Theme 5:
The role of various stakeholders in making communities safer and creating early warning systems in the hands of the communities |
l
To be able to define the roles of each of the stakeholders |
l
Roles identified by each stakeholder in creating an early warning
system viable in the hands of communities |
l
Workshop l
Structured learning exercise l
Presentation |
|
|
Theme 6: Wrap up and Synthesis |
l
To wrap up the entire workshop using a framework for analysis (based on
output of each day and recommendations) |
l
List
of recommendations l
List
of lessons learned from the workshop l
Press
release |
l
Workshop and l
Presentation |